. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . @britainelects. Please check you have typed it correctly. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. Labour scalps would include Tommy Sheppard, Angus MacNeil, Douglas Chapman and Stewart McDonald. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. However as the Scottish parliament became fully operational in Edinburgh, support for independence initially waned, trending around 30% in the first decade of the twentieth century. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. Early 2021. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. The pollster found. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). Most polling companies listed here are members of the . BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. /Which party are you most inclined to support? Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Four in ten Scottish voters want Nicola Sturgeon to resign, new poll suggests, Four in 10 Scots think Sturgeon should stand down, poll finds, Nicola Sturgeon opinion poll finds more than three-quarters of Scots think she should go, First Minister of Scotland: Runners and riders. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. Similarly, the above analysis has been conducted based on the existing United Kingdom constituency boundaries. A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Published by Statista Research Department , Feb 15, 2023. Company number: SC669393. , in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. However in the aftermath of fresh partygate allegations in January 2022, followed by the publication of the Gray report in February 2022, the Conservatives dropped to their lowest polling position for over a quarter of a century, falling to a point last seen during the midst of the Major government back in the 1990s. Another. Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? Stay informed. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. conducted. In early March 2023, the Labour Party continue to consolidate their substantial lead over the Conservatives, one which is now trending at 21%.. Polling averages extrapolated in the 3 weeks to 2 March place Labour on 47.3%, the Conservatives on 26.8%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9.3%. A YouGov poll published this morning (2 March) makes encouraging reading for the Prime Minister. [1] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the next UK general election as a de facto independence referendum. The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. Todays poll found that, among those who expressed a view, 76 per cent of voters believe the Scottish governments plans to change the law on gender recognition would pose a safety risk in women-only spaces, such as prisons, hospital wards and changing rooms while some 24 per cent disagreed. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. 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Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Notable recent election polls Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. All Rights Reserved. The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. We don't have an account for this email address. 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Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. Charities & not-for-profit. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. Something went wrong, please try again later. What has happened to the once-great British Airways? Topic . tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Easy-to-digest video clips. SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded. Pollster. Sign up for a FREE NewsNow account and get our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? Question asked is stated in notes field.

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