keir starmer opinion polls

The job of being Leader of the Opposition is, famously, the most thankless available in British politics. 61 per cent want 'completely new type of political . The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Boris Johnson, leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 24 July 2019 to 6 September 2022. Starmer has experience that Blair didn't. His party trails Labour by more than 20 points in the polls. A senior Labour source said: We know what needs to be done between now and the next election and are ticking everything off on the list. The Partygate investigator Sue Gray is a likely candidate to be Keir Starmer's chief of staff, as the Labour leader searches for a veteran civil . Even Blairs former manager for high value fundraising Vanessa Bowcock is back in a similar role in Starmers office. Collapse. Conservative government loom big in voters' minds. Starmers Labour increasingly looks like a pale replica of the modern Conservative Party, which publicly extols the virtues of unfettered markets while privately skewing the economic battle-space in big businesss favour - a covert socialism, but for the rich only. Of course, the Conservative Party will take evasive action, up to and including changing leader, before the next election, but we can now see that Labours doom and gloom about Starmers anti-charisma and Johnsons Teflon qualities were overdone. Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party, speaks at the National Farmers' Union (NFU) conference in Birmingham, UK, on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. None of this means Sunak is suddenly the effective and successful leader that the Tory party has lacked for so long. Keir Starmer is finally ahead in the polls but at what cost? Political Monitor. Keir Starmer is set to appoint Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated the partygate scandal, as his chief of staff.. Gray, who has a fearsome reputation for probing ministerial misbehaviour and ethics concerns, has left her role as head of the Union and Constitution Directorate at the Cabinet Office and is soon expected to join Starmer's team. An Opinium poll sees the Labour leader struggling to make headway against a PM whose handling of the pandemic has gained approval. Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies. Some Blairites believe Labours most electorally successful leader must be officially welcomed back into the tent to show the public how serious the party is about winning. There is also majority support for helping the more than 600,000 people on benefits to have to meet with a work coach to help them back into the labour market. Support for the Labour Party has grown in the aftermath of the Autumn Statement, a new poll reveals today.Aaron Chown. One member of Labours National Executive Committee (NEC), the partys ruling body, said Alli is a high net worth individual himself which will make quite a difference when he needs to tap people up to say Im giving money, you need to as well.'. Correlations identify things people with a positive opinion of Keir Starmer are more likely to rate positively than the . It is a dramatic capitulation for a party in opposition that grew out of the activities of the trade union movement and still affirms on its website that its affiliation with leading unions is what makes [Labour] unique. Sorting the protocol was a sensible bit of ground-clearing and confidence-building. Rishi Sunak during prime ministers questions on Wednesday. The king played his symbolic role. Overall, more than half the country, 54%, say they do not know who to back on the economy or would rather not say. The fact weve climbed out of the hole we were in was never a given. Starmer has sacked one shadow minister, Sam Tarry, the partner of Labour deputy leader Angela Rayner, after Tarry declared that every worker should get a pay rise in line with inflation. Starmer is ahead in best PM polling. Labour also still hold a lead of 10 points over the Conservatives in terms of overall voting intentions, broadly in line with our figures for June and likely to see the Labour party win a majority if an election were tomorrow.. Perhaps Sunak should not be too readily dismissed as a caretaker who is seeing out time until Keir Starmer takes over. Some 75% approve of the government's handling of the vaccine rollout. Instead, she has frozen record high fuel bills, but it is taxpayers, not business, who will face the burden of repaying the 150bn ($170bn) costs further down the road. The Socialist Campaign Group of MPs did not have the numbers to trigger a leadership election, let alone a candidate; Rayner had been one of theirs but she had compromised with the ideological enemy in the party. Blairs most important fundraiser during his premiership Michael Levy once referred to as Lord Cashpoint also has a role in tapping up wealthy donors. Worryingly for Rishi Sunak, only a minority of his own voters, 43%, back a Sunak-led government when it comes to managing the economy. After three years of near-destitution brought on by COVID-19, falling membership numbers and reduced union funding the party is now beginning to look cashed-up. SIR Keir Starmer has seen his ranking plunge in the polls after a terrible fortnight of bungles. On the eve of his big speech, Keir Starmer showed his frustration at being constantly compared with two of his predecessors - Jeremy Corbyn and Tony Blair - and declined to say to which of them he was closer. Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party is out of touch with public opinion, poll has found. It is still more likely that Sunak will oversee the end of a long period of Conservative government than its renewal. All rights reserved. Like Toto the dog pulling back the wizard's curtain, the rancorous and increasingly risible leadership contest is exposing rifts within the SNP as never before; instead of revealing a kindly old . Labours leads range from a yawning 31-point gap in our GB poll on the NHS (that lead representing a one-point gain from late January) to a relatively narrow four-point lead over the Conservatives in the Blue Wall as the party most trusted to manage the economy (32% to 28%, down from a 35% to 25% lead in our last Blue Wall Poll of January). A by-election caused by Ms Cooper's decision would be the first major electoral test for Liz Truss since she entered No10. It also reveals that Starmers party holds a narrow two-point lead, compared with a three-point lead in the last poll a fortnight ago. Second, it confirmed that he may be starting to steer the Tory party towards a more moderate and pragmatic place. In recent months, trade unions have threatened to make further cuts to their funding, too. The prime minister suddenly hit real unpopularity in the last month of the year. Sunaks handling of the NI protocol suggests a leader and a Tory party with more left in the tank than some think. Time. Enough is Enough unequivocally denounces a heartless establishment that, it implies, includes Starmer himself. In the aftermath of the Autumn Budget, I imagine these numbers will be a relief to Starmer and his team. No Tory leader can simply declare the convulsions of the past seven years over, or announce that from now on, they will be competent and consensual. Yoda Age: 22. The Labour leader has made a dirty word of socialism and shown that his own word counts for nothing. Neither Labour or the Cabinet Office denied a report by Sky News' that the Labour leader who current polls suggest could . When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. He seems to have taken as his starting point an assumption - shared by the establishment media - that the antagonism engineered by the Thatcher government through the 1980s towards trade unions and industrial action still holds 40 years later. Its leader, Sharon Graham, has said of union funding for Labour: Im not sure were getting the best value for it.. He was previously Director of Public Prosecutions from 2008 to 2013.. Starmer was born in London and raised in Surrey, where he . March 2, 2023 10:16 am CET. The battered economy, on which Starmer focused almost all his questions to Sunak in the Commons yesterday, remains far and away the central battleground of electoral politics for the foreseeable future. In his party conference speech in which Corbyn supporters were reduced to impotent heckling Starmer derided Johnson as a trivial politician; in the Commons, Starmer repeated the line the joke is wearing thin. Back in June, his spokesperson said: Weve been clear in the position that the strikes shouldnt go ahead. While 50% of voters in Britain still see the Government Sunak leads as incompetent, the Governments net competency rating is only marginally lower now than it was in late January (down one point to -34%). In many ways this looks rather like 1996 with Blair and Brown promising Tory-like spending controls and picking fights with the left of the party. Starmer may scrape a win at the next general election, against an internally divided Conservative governing party only too obviously divorced from the concerns of much of the electorate. Starmer has transplanted many of Blairs favorite donor point-people into his close circle to build a powerhouse fundraising team. Voters, it seems, finally agree. He was given a peerage by Blair in 1998 and acted as an unofficial adviser to the former PM through his 10-year reign. Labour leader Keir Starmer addresses the annual Labour Party conference in Brighton, England, on 9 September 2021 (AFP) Keir Starmer's wait-it-out approach may finally be . This takeover of party machinery has crucially extended to the partys finances and fundraising efforts. The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 United Kingdom general election, held on 12 December, to the present day. Nicola Sturgeons departure has disarmed the Scottish separatist threat for a while.. From the (limited) media I read it was pretty well received and will maintain/increase Labour's lead in the opinion polls. Adam Drummond, Opinium's head of political polling, said: "Keir Starmer's ratings have taken a tumble as Labour voters begin to fear that he isn't the one to lead the party back to power. These are people that dont have to be spending their time and money doing this, a Labour shadow Cabinet minister said. The leader of the Labour Party Keir Starmer says that under the current rate, the average British family will be poorer than the average Polish family by 2030Parliament TV Angela Rayner, the Labour deputy leader, also suggested that Starmer looks too much like a lawyer in public appearances and should put some more welly into his speeches. Do you believe Keir Starmer's words? Changes of this kind are not like electoral on-off switches. However, many within Labours ranks found Starmers performance to be flat and criticised his line of questioning. His website and blog can be found at www.jonathan-cook.net. Sunaks challenge will be to convince the country that its current problems lie more with global events than his own party, but that will be very, very hard given how strongly people feel about this. Does Keir Starmer look like a Prime Minister in waiting? oes Rishi Sunak deserve some kind of apology? Boris Johnson and Keir Starmer at the Platinum Pageant for the Queen in London. In March, Boris Johnson's net approval rating rose to +3, meaning that the PM now has a better net approval rating than Keir Starmer for the first time since April 2020. neutral role in the civil service would come at a time when Labour holds a strong lead over the ruling Conservatives in opinion polls and as Starmer sets out his vision and policy priorities for Britain ahead of a . Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? He has become the voice of a new populist grassroots politics filling the void on the left created by Starmers all-too visible absence. Labour is up 5-points on last week, perhaps suggesting a bounce after the autumn statement, although it is too early to know. Having endured a torrid few months, Rishi Sunak is at least ending February on a personal high. The Lib Dems are on 13% with the Greens on 6%. And further underscoring how divorced she is from the public mood, Truss intends to reverse a planned rise in what is a historically low rate of corporation tax. Leader of the British Labour Party, Keir Starmer, says that if nothing changes, Great Britain's GDP per capita would be lower than that of Poland in 7 years, and that of Hungary and Romania in 17 years. She told ITV's . Prince Harry set to lose crucial royal role as bitter feud could se 'Whats up with government by WhatsApp? Most of what was unveiled notably the green and red lanes and the dispute resolution system has been on the table for years. Politics. But the publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, following weeks in which he has been accused of failing to be more forceful on the cost of living. 2023. Plaid Cymru call on Mark Drakeford to sack health minister after damning health board report, Sir Keir Starmer defends appointing partygate investigator Sue Gray as chief of staff, Johnson allies claim partygate was 'a Labour stitch up' after Starmer appoints Sue Gray to top role. The head of the opposition has resolutely avoided offering any kind of vision for Britain, fearful it might be construed as vaguely socialist, and has even been averse to robustly challenging the ruling Tory party. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his strategic patience, according to an ally, when just as the year ended, he took a clear lead over Boris Johnson as the leader people would prefer to have as prime minister. Truss is hampered by being deeply uncharismatic - possibly even more so than Starmer, and in stark contrast to her immediate predecessor, Boris Johnson. As popular anger mounts, Starmers lack of vision for a sustainable future risks plunging parliamentary politics into even deeper crisis. Government approval on all three issues has risen in the Red Wall, recovering from a particularly bad poll in late January to now stand at -27% on the economy (+14), -41% on the NHS (+13), and -40% on immigration (+7). Levys return to the fold has also provided a big boost to Labours fundraising clout. The next election is expected in 2024, but it could be sooner if Liz Truss's huge tax giveaway backfiresmore than it already has. Latest news, analysis and comment on migration in Europe and beyond. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers in Europe. For years, we shocked people with Corbyn as leader in the worst way possible and we now need to shock them in positive ways, the shadow Cabinet minister quoted earlier said. Truss and her party have dealt him the easiest of hands, even if he continues to play it as cautiously as possible. Log in to access content and manage your profile. That has included reneging on his commitment to take back into public ownership key utilities, including gas and electricity. . Voices Keir Starmer can afford to be polite to Liz Truss for one key reason - he knows he is winning. However, while Labour has an overwhelming lead on every major poll as a party, the popularity battle between Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer is far tighter. Data are weighted. Although his net approval fell to -22% nationally on 18 February, his lowest ever, he ends the month having gained a marginal point from his January rating in both the Red Wall and in Great Britain (up to -17% in both). A government of which he was part had created the whole problem in the first place, of course, and one should never tire of saying so. Rishi Sunak is shaping up to be a prime minister Keir Starmer should be wary of. The hire of Alli as chair of campaign financing was a particularly adroit decision, according to several MPs and party officials. The poll also found voters backing Keir Starmer over Rishi Sunak. 2023 The damage done by the polarisation, recklessness, venality and destructiveness of the May-Johnson-Truss years casts long shadows that will shape the politics of this decade. As February ends, the Prime Minister remains mired in an extended poll slump, while the Labour leader and his party continue to ride high. These signs of change should be watched seriously, because the Tory party has history as an election winner. These polls asked the opinions of British voters, not specifically Scottish voters. 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Meanwhile, Sunak continues to trail Keir Starmer in most of the country on the question of which would be the better Prime Minister at this moment. . A backlash is coming, Labour leader Keir Starmer addresses the annual Labour Party conference in Brighton, England, on 9 September 2021 (AFP), How top Labour officials plotted to bring down Jeremy Corbyn, Forde Inquiry exposes Labour's biggest problem: Keir Starmer, Jonathan Cook is the author of three books on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and a winner of the Martha Gellhorn Special Prize for Journalism. Anybody with leadership experience will think this screams competence. In a speech in July he said rebooting the economy would be a Labour governments defining task. Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt leaves 11 Downing Street, LondonJames Manning. Focaldata found that Starmer is regarded as more trustworthy than Johnson, better equipped to make tough decisions and more competent. A poll released on the Monday of conference put Labour 17 points . The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform UK, formerly named Brexit Party, until 6 March 2021. Explore the live extension of our journalism, The wonk's survival guide to the EU Green Deal, Belarusian Nobel Peace Prize winner sentenced to 10 years in jail, Turkeys opposition splits over candidate to fight Erdoan, Germany to Switzerland: We want your tanks, Calculated evil: How Putins forces use war crimes and torture to erase Ukrainian identity, Let us film MPs as they vote, says outgoing Sky News chief, WhatsApp panic stalks Westminster after mass leak of private messages, Why always Matt? Starmers reluctance to criticise big business or show solidarity with workers has shifted political ground in the UK even further to the right. "However, at least then Labour could console itself that their leader was new and making a positive impression. Approval in the Blue Wall is no better, with the Governments approval on immigration down by one point to -44%, although it has improved its rating on the economy (-33%, +5), and the NHS (-49%, +2) since January. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll.. Hence some of the changes to the leaders office which he has made since then. Keir Starmers looking to the past and talking up a business role in the future in drive to fill party coffers. GBNEWS. UK opposition leader Keir Starmer will pledge that a Labour government would boost public purchases of local food as he seeks to appeal to country's embattled farmers. Businesses arent altruists giving us all this money means that they will tend to want more movement towards the interests of business., Mandelson, meanwhile, told POLITICO Labour needs many more individual donors to compensate for the sums currently being withheld by hard-left controlled unions.. Around the middle of the year, however, the tide started to turn. But he has made his own luck too. When politics resumes next week, the Labour leader will have a (courteous) spring in his step Latest news, analysis and comment on German politics and beyond. Starmer holds an approval rating of -6, unchanged from two weeks ago. Well, Starmer saw Boris off, and his successor Liz Truss - and Labour have had an opinion poll lead for the last 474 days. Explore the latest YouGov polling, survey results and articles about Keir Starmer. politics . Sir Keir Starmer - Labour Party Leader. The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leader's favour - vindicating his 'strategic patience'. Labour MPs and party officials say the fundraising operation is far more professionalized than at any other point during Labours last 13 years in the wilderness. Much as I detest Starmer and the current Labour Party he will likely win back the ugly racist Brexit gammons who voted Tory or Farage last election, he won't loose safe seats like mine, and he won't care if a few of the more comfortable and liberal Tory seats flip Lib Dem. The breach with Rayner was serious, and would continue to be for the rest of the year, but she was no threat to Starmers position as leader. During the Hartlepool campaign, when opinion polls made clear Labour was going to lose, he was reported by The Times (earlier this month) to have shouted to his team: Everyone hates us, everyone hates us, why do they hate us? Labours new HQ in Southwark is described by party officials as a serious upgrade, with the NEC member quoted earlier calling it a proper campaign HQ, like it was in 1997., The party has also been on a hiring spree in recent months, advertising for dozens of new positions across the country. 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A moderate Labour MP said we cant be shy about raising money from private individuals, especially if they want to win big at the next election. But the problem runs deeper. Lucy Powell described partygate investigator Sue Gray - who plans to join Labour as Sir Keir Starmer's chief of staff - as "impartial" and "really good at her job". Polling for Ipsos MORI showed the Tories taking the lead in front of Labour again amid a vaccine bou "Any opposition would be struggling against a government riding the success of the vaccine rollout and the last time the government's approval figures for the pandemic were this positive the Conservatives held a 17 point lead. Updated on 2 March 2023 at 8:00. Copyright 2014 - 2023. Only a minority of 2019 Conservative Party voters, 43%, back a Sunak-led Conservative government to manage the economy. What it shows is that these guys think Keir is going to win. These include the new constituency boundaries on which the next election will be fought, the reduction in the number of seats from Wales and Scotland, and the fact that the Tories need a smaller lead than Labour in the overall national vote to be the largest party at Westminster or to have an overall majority. But his handling of the Northern Ireland protocol changes this week suggests a leader with more in the tank than critics have allowed. LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to mold Labours election plans and get its fingerprints on his policy agenda. Although his approval rating in the Blue Wall fell two points in February to now stand at +6%, his rating in both the Red Wall (+14%) and GB (+13%) are up by six and four points respectively. The Labour leader said he is glad the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) is taking time to consider . One month ago he was on -3 in the equivalent BMG poll and in June the number of people who were satisfied was the same as those dissatisfied. It was a key insight to recognise that the DUP had overreached itself at the expense of the UKs wider economic and political interests, and was therefore in a weaker position than many assumed. The Labour leader is rated better on dealing with the cost of living than both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss. Too soon for that. For one thing, the protocol deal may stumble. By logging in, you confirm acceptance of ourPOLITICO Privacy Policy. The Leader of the Opposition leads by ten points or more on being in touch with ordinary people (39% to 20%), they understand the problems facing Britain (50% to 37%), they are an . At various dates in the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Labour ahead of Tories by two points, but Labours leader failing to make a personal breakthrough. He has lots of experience. And, in a further nod to the business-friendly "New Labour" days of the 1990s and 2000s, he's even tapping Tony Blair's moneymen to fund his bid for power. . As people increasingly see through Johnsons bluster and feel the impact of his lack of decisions, weve created space to show that Keir is the serious politician needed for post-pandemic Britain., To keep up to speed with all the latest opinions and comment sign up to our free weekly Voices newsletter by clicking here. Keir Starmer has been urged to intervene in the selection process for a Labour target "red wall" seat, after a leading candidate who had the support of eight trade unions was blocked from . For Sunak personally, his approval rating, despite some fluctuations, ends February more or less where it was at the end of January. The big winner in all this, however, is disillusionment. These could include a comparison of leading politicians within the same party (to gauge support for future leadership contests), or compare the current leader of one party to an alternative leader of a second. Woman with cerebral palsy jailed after waving 77-year-old cyclist i Sadiq Khan sparks outrage after branding Britons' concerns about Ul Andrew Tate says he's 'seriously ill' as he seeks permission to lea Hunt set for last minute change to energy price cap which will save Britons hundreds of pounds. The questions differ slightly from pollster to pollster: Some pollsters ask voters which potential Prime Minister/Chancellor of the Exchequer pairing they would prefer: Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt for the Conservative Party or Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves for the Labour Party. LONDON Keir Starmer is reportedly considering hiring Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated pandemic rule-busting parties in Boris Johnson's government, as his chief of staff. The health service has been on its knees. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jeremy Corbyn, the former leader of the Labour Party until 4 April 2020. A survey of party members in March this year found that Tony Blair was just as popular with them as Jeremy Corbyn. In my dealings with Gray when I was political secretary, I found her . 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